Impact and numbers in the United States In the United States, the current flu season marks record high numbers with millions of cases
Flu K: Why our immune systems are weakening as cases and deaths soar across the US
Impact and numbers in the United States
In the United States, the current flu season marks a high toll with millions of reported cases, tens of thousands of hospitalizations and thousands of deaths, putting significant pressure on the health care system.The latest data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) show that the disease is widespread in many parts of the country, with outbreaks contracted in specific states and a sharp increase in hospitalizations in recent weeks, managing hospital facilities and vulnerable groups.To enforce protection.
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The latest official report shows that as of December 20, there are at least 7.5 million confirmed cases of influenza, with about 81,000 hospitalizations and 3,100 deaths.The victims also included children, and at least 8 child deaths were reported.The impact has greatly increased in recent weeks, with the number of admissions to the country's hospital more than doubled over 7-days, from about 9,900 to more than 19,000 hospitals. It shows an acceleration that gives the capacity of hospitals to respond to many areasat risk.
The geographic distribution is large: most states are classified as having high or very high influenza activity.States like Colorado, Louisiana, New Jersey, New York and South Carolina are seeing particularly significant increases, with local hospitals already under stress from the influx of patients.Overload affects not only infectious disease departments, but also emergency departments and intensive care units, resulting in difficulties in bed management and staff availability.
Demographic data show how the most at-risk groups—the elderly, very young children, and those with comorbidities—represent a significant proportion of serious cases and hospitalizations.The simultaneous spread of other seasonal respiratory viruses and the professional exhaustion of health workers after years of epidemics increase the pressure on the infrastructure.Experts stress the need for continued surveillance, hospital capacity building and targeted public health measures to prevent the epidemic from worsening.is
- How many flu cases have been recorded in the United States so far?The data as of December 20 shows about 7.5 million cases.
- How many hospitals appear?About 81,000 hospitals reported at the same time.
- How many deaths have been caused by the flu?About 3,100 deaths have been reported, including at least 8 children.
- Which states are the highest?States with the highest peaks include Colorado, Louisiana, New Jersey, New York, and South Carolina.
- How has hospital pressure changed in recent weeks?The number of hospitalizations has doubled in seven days, from 9,900 to more than 19,000.
- Which groups are most at risk?The elderly, young children and people with chronic or debilitating illnesses are at greatest risk.
Identification of k variants and immune response
Type K of influenza A H3N2 virus has genetic and antigenic characteristics that explain its rapid spread and the ability to reduce the effectiveness of pre-existing immunity: it is a mutation that changes key epitopes of the hemagglutinin protein, favoring immune evasion and increased transmissibility.Surveillance studies show that, although not included in combination vaccines prior to their identification, residual protection from the vaccine can mitigate the clinical risk;However, the likelihood of symptomatic infection and recurrence of infection in people with immunity from previous seasons remains high.
The K variant is characterized by point mutations in the hemagglutinin region responsible for binding to cellular receptors.These changes alter the antigens recognized by antibodies developed after the previous infection or vaccination, reducing immune recognition.Therefore, people with partial immunity can still develop symptomatic forms;however, cross-reactive cell immunity and non-neutralizing antibodies often help limit the progression of severe conditions, explaining why vaccination continues to offer benefits to reduce hospitalization and death.
From an epidemiological perspective, the variant shows more transmission efficiency compared to subtypes circulating in recent seasons.Antigenic changes favor rapid causes in low vaccination or immunity populations that do not effectively recognize the new stress.Clinical data sets out increases in cases in various age groups, with a particular impact on the elderly and unmunished children, while the pressure on hospitals is exacerbated by the synchronous circulation of other respiratory viruses that make diagnosis and treatment difficult.
In terms of immune responses, the K variant challenges both humoral and cellular immunity.Neutralizing antibodies generated against previous H3N2 strains often show reduced titers against K, but memory T cells can recognize conserved epitopes, providing some protection against critical forms.This dynamic justifies the observation that, although symptomatic cases are increasing, not all increases in infection automatically translate into proportional waves of serious hospitalizations, especially where vaccination coverage and the prevalence of prior immunity are greater.
The implications for virological surveillance are significant.It is necessary to expand the range of viral proteins to monitor the evolution of K and detect any other mutations that may further compromise its immune recognition.Information laboratories and surveillance networks must coordinate to provide rapid and detailed data, which is fundamental to any vaccine update and to guide public health strategies, including prioritization of vaccination campaigns among the most at-risk populations.
- What is the K strain of H3N2?It is a mutation of H3N2 subtype A, which has a change in the hemagglutinin protein that makes it easier to escape from existing antibodies.
Why is the K difference a concern?Because the recognition of antibodies caused by a previous infection or vaccination is reduced, it increases the chance of developing a symptomatic infection.
- Does vaccination protect against the K variant?Yes: Despite reduced efficacy compared to perfectly matched strains, vaccination reduces the risk of serious illness, hospitalization and death.
- How does the variation of K affect the transfer ability?Antigenic mutations contribute to increased transmission efficiency, facilitating rapid spread in populations with low vaccination coverage.
- What is the role of cellular response against K?The T-cell response can recognize conserved epitopes and reduce the severity of the disease, even reducing the immune response.
- How is the evolution of the variable monitored?Through viral sequencing and coordinated surveillance of laboratories and health networks to detect new mutations and carry vaccination updates.
vaccinations and health advice
Vaccination remains the priority tool to limit the clinical impact of the current wave of influenza: the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) and international health authorities recommend the use of the seasonal vaccine especially for vulnerable groups, taking into account the limitations associated with the late appearance of the K variant. Although the vaccine does not specifically include K, the immune response induced by the included strains offers partial protection against severe forms, reducing hospitalizations and death.The vaccination strategy therefore remains crucial to ease pressure on hospitals and protect at-risk groups.
By the end of November, about 130 million doses of the vaccine had been distributed in the US, but coverage was lower than in previous seasons: at that time, only 17% of children and 23% of adults had been vaccinated.This low adherence increases the susceptibility of the population to the rapid spread of the K variant. Current recommendations emphasize that it is never too late to vaccinate: even a dose given while the virus is actively circulating can offer significant benefits in reducing clinical severity and the likelihood of hospitalization.
Officials emphasize the importance of vaccination for the elderly, children, pregnant women, health workers and people with chronic diseases (cardiovascular, respiratory, diabetes, immune system).In addition, the use of timely vaccination in suspected or confirmed cases of influenza in high-risk patients with early treatment is recommended to prevent complications.The combination of vaccination + vaccination is the best way to reduce the number of deaths and hospitalizations in this severe season.yes
Health campaigns to increase coverage require regulatory measures: easier access through mobile clinics and pharmacies, longer administration times, targeted communication to specific groups, and guarantees on vaccine safety.In parallel, active surveillance and continuous sequencing are important to assess the real-world efficacy of K vaccines and guide future vaccine formulation updates, if necessary.Synergy between vaccination, early diagnosis and appropriate use of antiviral drugs remains the recommended course of action by mainstream health institutions.
- Does the seasonal vaccine protect against the K variant?Yes: it provides partial protection, mainly to reduce complications, hospitalization and death, although the effectiveness against symptomatic infection may be low.
- Who should be vaccinated preferably?The elderly, young children, pregnant women, healthcare workers and people with chronic conditions or immunosuppression.
- Is vaccination beneficial without the K vaccine?Yes: Vaccination is still recommended because it helps reduce the burden on critically ill patients and hospitals.
- What role do antiviral drugs play?When antiviral drugs are used early in those at risk or those with significant symptoms, complications and hospitalizations are reduced.
- Come aumentare la copertura vaccinale? Migliorare accessibilità (cliniche mobili, farmacie), orari estesi, campagne informative mirate e rassicurazioni sulla sicurezza sono misure efficaci.
- Is there a plan to update the vaccine to include K?Continued monitoring and sequencing will inform future updates to vaccine formulations, but decisions and timing will depend on global surveillance data.
situation and perspectives in Europe and Italy
The circulation of the A H3N2 K variant observed in the United States has already shown similar symptoms in Europe and is a more serious sign in Italy: the European health system is preparing for a peak that may overlap with the seasonal wave of other respiratory viruses and the major challenge of winter transportation.Especially in areas where there are many patients in the hospital.
The UK epidemic has shown a decline, but pressure on hospitals remains high: elderly beds are almost full, and daily flu hospitalizations remain high.In addition to influenza, facilities must carefully manage patients with Covid-19 and other seasonal illnesses that can significantly impact wait times and critical care capacity.UK authorities have introduced precautionary measures and organizational measures to reduce the pressure on health services in the worst-hit areas.
In Europe, the situation varies from country to country, with some countries reporting an increase in infections, while others are observing a short period of time.Virtual surveillance systems show mostly A H3N2;Usually shown by K type isolation.This will determine regional impact differences in terms of the timing of vaccine coverage and public health responses.Collaboration between European laboratory networks is important to follow the development of K and to inform clinical indications and prevention.
In Italy, the ISS RespiVirNet report shows the prevalence of H3N2 type A and the presence of different types K. National and regional data show an increase in cases and days off from work and school, which has a significant impact on primary health care.Epidemiological forecasts show that the peak season is approaching: hospitals may record the number of hospitalizations, especially among the elderly and frail, prompting the need to prepare beds, staff and targeted measures to reduce the spread of hospitalization.
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- Is the K version already ruling Europe?According to surveillance networks, A H3N2 with the K variant is one of the dominant strains in many European countries.
- Is the Italian healthcare system ready to face the peak?Institutions are implementing plans to increase beds and staff, but capacity will depend on the mode of infection and the pressure associated with other viruses.
- What measures should be taken at the regional level?Vaccination of vulnerable groups, timely diagnosis, appropriate use of antiviral drugs and strengthening of pathways for respiratory patients.
- Are European vaccination campaigns strengthened?Yes: several countries have made more efforts to improve access to doses, especially for vulnerable groups.
- How to monitor the evolution of various species?For virus sequencing and rapid data sharing between national and European laboratories.
- What can the citizens do to reduce the risk?Get vaccinated if you belong to risk groups, respect respiratory hygiene measures and contact a doctor immediately in case of acute symptoms.
